Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.063728 0.072039 0.080577 0.089971 0.099988 0.110321 0.121757
2025-06-08 0.047296 0.059227 0.072186 0.087156 0.103832 0.121711 0.142201
2025-06-15 0.039182 0.053379 0.069493 0.088796 0.110974 0.135376 0.163980
2025-06-22 0.032815 0.048361 0.066725 0.089420 0.116168 0.146211 0.182046
2025-06-29 0.029854 0.046896 0.067672 0.093961 0.125527 0.161506 0.204944
2025-07-06 0.025566 0.043184 0.065425 0.094283 0.129609 0.170476 0.220414
2025-07-13 0.025007 0.044214 0.068991 0.101623 0.142019 0.189151 0.247136
2025-07-20 0.020588 0.039493 0.064809 0.099003 0.142120 0.193120 0.256547
2025-07-27 0.019231 0.038925 0.065939 0.103003 0.150264 0.206624 0.277163
2025-08-03 0.016972 0.036771 0.064750 0.103864 0.154398 0.215237 0.291939
2025-08-10 0.014946 0.034734 0.063545 0.104564 0.158228 0.223411 0.306148
2025-08-17 0.012778 0.032201 0.061447 0.103919 0.160227 0.229261 0.317502
2025-08-24 0.009820 0.028087 0.057010 0.100229 0.158603 0.231089 0.324627
2025-08-31 0.007535 0.024757 0.053496 0.097666 0.158398 0.234721 0.334081
2025-09-07 0.006480 0.023568 0.053150 0.099479 0.163924 0.245539 0.352381
2025-09-14 0.005364 0.022018 0.052083 0.100155 0.167865 0.254317 0.368156
2025-09-21 0.005079 0.022235 0.053883 0.105010 0.177465 0.270343 0.392988
2025-09-28 0.004139 0.020727 0.052683 0.105355 0.180882 0.278427 0.407923
2025-10-05 0.004357 0.022113 0.056462 0.113188 0.194617 0.299859 0.439642
2025-10-12 0.003163 0.019573 0.053268 0.110394 0.193631 0.302227 0.447420
2025-10-19 0.002952 0.019665 0.054711 0.114660 0.202447 0.317335 0.471271
2025-10-26 0.002412 0.018622 0.054015 0.115576 0.206557 0.326304 0.487383
2025-11-02 0.001934 0.017590 0.053248 0.116323 0.210394 0.334900 0.503026